Course: Design of infrastructures under uncertainty (5-6 November 2018)

Approaches to develop future-proof designs

In designing and retrofitting infrastructure systems, engineers are confronted with growing uncertainties regarding the future operating conditions of their designs. Engineers design and build infrastructures that are expected to remain operational for the decennia without much inside of their future operation conditions. These uncertainties compound on the uncertainties in the equations and models that support the design. Research into dealing with deep uncertainties is now contributing methods that complement probabilistic approaches in the design of infrastructure under deep uncertainty.

In this course you will learn to understand these novel approaches and to apply them in the design of infrastructures under deep uncertainty.  Exploratory Modelling and Analysis (EMA) is central to this approach. EMA uses a powerful software tool that supports the exploration, and analysis of your design space using a fast and integrated simulation model. It evaluates alternative designs and their performance under uncertain future conditions.

In the course we demonstrate the use and added value of EMA in developing a robust design through a number of real world applications.  After theoretical introductions and practical examples you will apply these methods yourself. You will make a simple system model and use the EMA-workbench to develop a robust design.

In this course you will learn

  • What robustness, resilience, adaptivety and flexibility mean
  • What it means to make a robust infrastructure design
  • What deep uncertainty is and how it confronts probabilistic uncertainty
  • How to develop a fir for purpose systems model
  • How to use the EMA workbench to explore your design space
  • How to arrive at a robust design

Who should join?
This course is relevant for professional engineers and policy makers working with water boards, municipalities and national government; project engineers with institutes for applied research and consultancies. The approaches presented in the course are applicable to numerous infrastructures (assets), water systems, pumping stations, flood defence systems, waste water infrastructure and treatment, water supply systems etc.Prior knowledge of Python, Excel (advanced) and/or VenSim is required.

Trainer: J. Timmermans (TU Delft Faculteit Techniek, Bestuur en Management (TBM))
Location: Delft, the Netherlands
Price: € 995.00 ex. vat

Read more and registration
Please visit the website for further information


Monday 27 August 2018
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